# TwapTrade: a prediction market for real-world events

> TwapTrade is a prediction market by Quantumines for trading on the outcome of real-world events in politics, sports, crypto, finance and culture, with prices from 1¢ to 99¢ shown as live odds and funds kept in the user's own wallet.

Source: https://quantumines.com/products/twaptrade
Published: 2026-11-09 · Last updated: 2026-11-09 · Facts checked: 2026-11-09
Publisher: Quantumines (https://quantumines.com/), founded by Muhammad Ali Raza (Ali Arbi)

TwapTrade is a prediction market for trading on the outcome of real-world events. It is built and run by Quantumines, the studio of Muhammad Ali Raza (Ali Arbi), at twaptrade.com. In November 2026 it replaced an earlier, unrelated trading-workspace product on the same domain.

## What it does

- Markets on politics, sports, crypto, finance and culture.
- Each outcome is priced from 1¢ to 99¢, which reads as the market's live odds.
- Funds stay in the user's own self-custody wallet.

## Where it is available

Trading is not available in restricted jurisdictions, such as the United States, the United Kingdom and France. Check the rules where you live before using any prediction market.

## Related reading

- Studio update, 9 November 2026: TwapTrade becomes a prediction market (https://quantumines.com/blog/studio-update-2026-11-09-twaptrade-prediction-market)
- What is TWAP in trading? (https://quantumines.com/answers/what-is-twap-trading) (the trading term the name comes from)